Cruzeiro vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 1
CRZ
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 0
UBE
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATP
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
22%
68%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
BOA
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TOM
2 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
URT
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UBE
2 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |