Cruzeiro vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.4%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.3%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CRZ
6 - 1
ATM
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
CRZ
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
FUN
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRZ
4 - 1
GUA
97%
3%
1%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |