Cruzeiro vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.4%
5-0
10.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.5%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.6%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.7%
1.1%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 3
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CRZ
5 - 0
SOC
95%
5%
1%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
UBE
1 - 2
CRZ
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
TUP
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
USC
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
DEM
3 - 2
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 3
GUA
86%
10%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |