Copa do Brasil Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Cruzeiro vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
CRZ
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 2
CRZ
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 3
CRZ
31%
28%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
ATP
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
CRZ
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOD
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATM
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |