Cruzeiro vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 3
CRZ
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COT
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 1
CRZ
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FLU
2 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
AVA
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
VAS
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |