Cruzeiro vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 3
CRZ
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 1
AMF
70%
20%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRZ
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLA
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 2
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |