Cruzeiro vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
CRZ
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 3
GRE
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 1
CRZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 3
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 3
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 3
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
FLA
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |