Cruzeiro vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CRZ
3 - 4
ATM
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
20%
71%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CAL
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAL
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
CRZ
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
EST
2 - 1
NOB
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 0
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 4
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
ARS
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 4
EST
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |