Cruzeiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 4
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
COR
41%
28%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
BAH
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 1
PAL
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |