Cruzeiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
NAU
1 - 0
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
CRZ
0 - 0
RIO
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
PIA
0 - 3
CRZ
13%
25%
62%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
CRZ
3 - 1
TUN
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VAS
0 - 0
CRZ
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
BAH
1 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
GUA
1 - 1
BAH
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BAH
1 - 0
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
BAH
2 - 1
OPE
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
BAH
3 - 0
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |