Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-2
Cruzeiro vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
47%
24%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 2
CRI
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 2
CRZ
30%
25%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
MIL
2 - 0
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOL
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
PER
0 - 1
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |