Cruzeiro vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 2
CRZ
30%
25%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
CFC
2 - 3
CRZ
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CRZ
5 - 0
UCO
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRZ
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 1
SAO
22%
23%
55%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
COT
2 - 0
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CRI
3 - 2
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CRI
0 - 2
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |