Cruzeiro vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 2
CRZ
64%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 1
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 4
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
COT
1 - 2
VAS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
COR
5 - 1
COT
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
ATM
47%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
COT
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |