Cruzeiro vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 0
CRZ
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
CRZ
1 - 0
PAY
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
ATP
3 - 1
CRZ
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAO
55%
21%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
COT
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
SAO
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 0
COT
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |