Cruzeiro vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SCI
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
COR
30%
29%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
COR
3 - 2
FLA
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
COR
26%
29%
46%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 2
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |