Cruzeiro vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
COT
3 - 2
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
CRZ
0 - 3
AMF
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 4
CRZ
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
CRZ
0 - 0
PPE
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 2
ATP
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
SPO
2 - 1
COR
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
COR
0 - 0
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
PAR
3 - 1
COR
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
COR
3 - 2
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
PPE
2 - 2
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |