Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 0
CRZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PPE
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CRZ
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ATP
3 - 1
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 4
VIT
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |