Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-2
Cruzeiro vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SPC
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
VEL
3 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 0
RAC
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |