Cruzeiro vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 7
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CRZ
5 - 2
FLU
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAY
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 3
CRZ
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
CFC
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CFC
3 - 1
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
CFC
3 - 1
MIR
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
TRU
1 - 0
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |