Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-2
Cruzeiro vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
CRZ
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AMF
2 - 0
CRZ
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 3
CRZ
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GUA
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAM
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
CRZ
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
SPO
16%
22%
63%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |