Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-2
Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
CRZ
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
CRZ
37%
29%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 0
ATM
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 2
FOR
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
CRZ
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 2
SLO
47%
29%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
CRZ
37%
29%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IRV
1 - 1
BOC
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 0
BAN
45%
29%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |