Cruzeiro vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRZ
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COR
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRZ
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
COT
0 - 3
CRZ
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
4 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 1
COT
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
FLU
1 - 1
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |