Cruzeiro vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.7%
8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 3
UBE
81%
15%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CRZ
3 - 0
PAT
81%
15%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COI
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
OES
3 - 0
BOT
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |