Cruzeiro vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
FAS
1 - 1
CRZ
8%
19%
73%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
REM
4 - 0
CRZ
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAC
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ATM
1 - 0
CRZ
46%
28%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
USC
0 - 0
CRZ
22%
25%
54%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
PAY
2 - 1
BOT
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AMF
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
BOT
4 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
BOT
5 - 1
FAS
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |