Cruzeiro vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COT
0 - 3
CRZ
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRZ
2 - 0
BRA
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRZ
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 2
CSA
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
CRZ
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
AVA
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOT
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 0
BOT
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |