Cruzeiro vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
CRZ
3 - 0
ATM
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
CRZ
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
CRZ
2 - 2
FLU
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 2
BOT
18%
28%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
22%
27%
52%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |