Cruzeiro vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 1
PAL
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 1
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 2
CRZ
21%
26%
54%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
UNI
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |