Mineiro 1 Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Cruzeiro vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
1.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 4
CRZ
10%
17%
74%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
EST
4 - 0
CRZ
36%
27%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 7
CRZ
8%
16%
77%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 0
TUP
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CRZ
7 - 0
DEM
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 4
CRZ
10%
17%
74%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
1 - 2
BOA
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 0
DEM
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 2
ATM
16%
20%
64%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UBE
1 - 1
BOA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |