Cruzeiro vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
3 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 4
GRÊ
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 2
CRZ
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SCI
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 2
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
AVA
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
AVA
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
COT
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |