Cruzeiro vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRZ
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CRZ
4 - 1
GOI
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
COT
3 - 4
CRZ
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ATP
5 - 2
CRI
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATP
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
FFL
1 - 1
ATP
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 2
ATM
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
ATP
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |