Cruzeiro vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRZ
26%
27%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 1
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
IND
2 - 0
CRZ
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
CRZ
2 - 2
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
PAL
3 - 3
CRZ
53%
23%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
ATP
2 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
ATP
0 - 1
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
COR
0 - 0
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
POR
1 - 1
ATP
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
ATP
3 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |