Cruzeiro vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
VAS
1 - 1
CRZ
47%
28%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
CAL
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
59%
26%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1974 |
VAS
2 - 1
CRZ
41%
30%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
53%
21%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 2
CRZ
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
VAS
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
POR
70%
16%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |