Cruzeiro vs América TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
CRZ
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 2
CRZ
64%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 1
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
DEM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 2
NEC
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
TUP
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |