Cruzeiro vs América TO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.4%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1.1%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.5%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
5.1%
6-0
7.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
9.1%
5-0
11.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
+5
14.1%
4-0
14.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
3.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
3.5%
0.8%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRZ
3 - 2
AMF
84%
12%
5%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
MIR
2 - 2
CRZ
19%
23%
57%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 2
CRZ
4%
13%
83%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CRZ
5 - 0
USC
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 1
CRZ
7%
16%
77%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
TUP
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
AME
2 - 0
UBE
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
USC
3 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
2 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |