Mineiro 1 Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Cruzeiro vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
EME
0 - 1
CRZ
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 3
CRZ
27%
28%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
CRZ
2 - 0
LAR
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CRZ
5 - 0
PAT
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CAL
83%
14%
4%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 3
CRZ
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 0
CAL
81%
15%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 2
GUA
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 2
AMF
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 0
TFC
80%
14%
5%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |