Cruzeiro vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
CRZ
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 4
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 0
TUP
82%
14%
4%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
21%
69%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
URT
84%
13%
4%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AMF
3 - 1
CAL
77%
17%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
AMF
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMF
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
AMF
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AMF
3 - 0
TUP
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |