Cruzeiro vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRZ
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
CRZ
1 - 2
GRE
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 4
GRE
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
1 - 0
CRZ
33%
25%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |