Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Cruzeiro vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
CRZ
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
COT
1 - 2
CRZ
24%
26%
51%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 3
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATP
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
32%
26%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
ABC
36%
29%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 2
PPE
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |