Cruzeiro vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SCI
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRZ
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
POR
5 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
POR
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
FLU
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |