Cruzeiro vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CRZ
3 - 2
FLA
49%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NAU
5 - 2
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
GOI
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
25%
27%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 2
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |