Cruz Azul vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ALT
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
CAZ
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
VER
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
0 - 1
CAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 2
VER
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LAP
1 - 2
UDG
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 0
UDG
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
UAT
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |