Cruz Azul vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOB
1 - 0
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TIJ
5 - 1
CAZ
48%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TIJ
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
5 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 0
CAZ
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 1
TOR
23%
25%
51%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UDG
2 - 2
REB
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
UDG
1 - 2
IRA
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |