Cruz Azul vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
NEC
19%
26%
55%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 1
CAZ
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATL
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TIJ
4 - 0
CAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
2 - 2
MER
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
UDG
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
UAT
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
REB
4 - 0
UDG
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
LEO
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |