Cruz Azul vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
CAZ
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 0
CAZ
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CAÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CAÑ
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 1
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
UDG
2 - 2
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
UDG
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
AUR
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
EST
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |