Cruz Azul vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
5 - 1
CAZ
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
LOB
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 1
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MER
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
REB
2 - 2
MER
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
REB
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
REB
4 - 1
UAT
34%
29%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 1
REB
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 0
REB
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |