Cruz Azul vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 1
UDG
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ALT
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
CAZ
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 3
VER
35%
28%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LAP
0 - 0
PUM
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DOR
0 - 1
PUM
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 3
UAT
32%
28%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |