Cruz Azul vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 0
VER
26%
29%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAZ
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 0
JAG
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 0
CAZ
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 1
VER
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 2
PUM
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MEX
0 - 3
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PUM
3 - 0
LOB
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |