Cruz Azul vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MER
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
VER
2 - 1
CAZ
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 2
ATL
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
JAG
1 - 3
CAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ORI
0 - 0
VER
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
ORI
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
JAG
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 1
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ORI
3 - 0
LOB
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |