Cruz Azul vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UDG
2 - 0
CAZ
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
DEL
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
UAT
2 - 1
CAZ
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 1
BAL
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
DOR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 2
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
JAG
51%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MER
3 - 3
ALE
39%
29%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 4
ALE
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 3
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |