Cruz Azul vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
ALT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
NEC
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
LAP
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
IRA
0 - 1
NEC
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
PUM
64%
22%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |